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Free Cohort Retention & LTV Calculator

Project lifetime value and revenue decay from a single user cohort using realistic retention curves. Fits a power-law decay through your three observed retention points (M1, M3, M12) instead of assuming flat retention. Calculates 24-month LTV, payback period, magic number against CAC, and the cumulative revenue curve a board deck actually wants to see.

Inputs

%
%
%
$
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$
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Results

Fitted Power-Law Decay Exponent

0

Projected Month 24 Retention

28.8%

Projected Month 36 Retention

25.8%

Average Months Active per Cohort User

9

24-Month LTV per User (Gross Margin)

$395

LTV:CAC Ratio (24-Month)

2

CAC Payback (Months)

14

24-Month Cumulative Cohort Revenue

$506,019

Cohort Contribution Margin (Net of CAC)

$154,695

By David Shadrake · Free, no signup required

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About the Author

David Shadrake

David Shadrake works on strategic business development and tech partnerships, with focus areas across AI, fintech, venture capital, growth, sales, SEO, blockchain, and broader tech innovation. Read more of his perspective on partnerships, market dynamics, and emerging technology at davidshadrake.com.